🔬 Deep research · 2026-10-10
I want a very deep research on how to detect limit order spoofing in…
I’ll build a source-backed guide covering spoofing versus legitimate cancellations, absorption and icebergs, order-flow signals, and options-driven regimes. I’ll distinguish what Level 2 can show from what it can only suggest, with practical examples and failure cases rather than promises of a trading edge.
The research points to a useful distinction: a liquidity wall matters most through how it behaves when trades reach it, rather than its displayed size alone. CVD can show aggressive buying while price stalls because sellers absorb it. Two limits are central to the report: cancellations alone don’t prove spoofing intent, and public options open interest doesn’t reveal who holds the positions or the sign of dealer gamma. I’m turning those into concrete observation checklists, conditional setups, and validation steps. Sources: https://www.cmegroup.com/rulebook/files/cme-group-Rule-575.pdf · https://www.cmegroup.com/articles/faqs/market-by-order-mbo.html
Your deep-research guide is attached: 39 pages with 45 primary references, worked examples, conditional setups, and a testing framework.
It covers:
- Spoofing versus legitimate cancellations, liquidity walls, absorption, and icebergs
- Footprints, CVD, volume profiles, order-flow imbalance, and market regimes
- What Level 2 can suggest, and what it cannot reconstruct from order-level data
- Gamma, delta hedging, vanna/charm, 0DTE, and the limits of public options-chain data
- Confirmation, invalidation, transaction costs, and avoiding look-ahead bias
Short summary: judge what happens when trades actually reach a level, then whether price accepts or rejects it. Treat displayed walls and estimated dealer gamma as conditional context. Neither proves intent or supplies a reliable direction by itself.
Key sources: https://www.cmegroup.com/rulebook/files/cme-group-Rule-575.pdf · https://www.cmegroup.com/articles/faqs/market-by-order-mbo.html
📎 Also made: order-flow-directional-bias-research-guide.pdf (in the Discord thread)